general

oh I see that makes more sense

Anyway, 5th option is the correct one

Guaranteed

I agree with Spooky actually

I'm changing my vote to the 5th option

If we are working in mod 4, so that there are 3 options, then that is option 1

mod 3 puts it on option 2, I changed to that.

there is not 0 options, so we have to be at least in mod 4

for the poll to make sense

there are 3 options

But if he said the 4th option, then pooky would have picked the 0 option

how did I miss the S, but also I find that funny

Pooky would then be saying he is not voting

which is valid

but he said 5, which means 1 by the law of wrap arounds

Fireworks starting and dog is freakin out

Spooky literally said you should die in vc yesterday

he was complaining about people who talk about their dog freaking out at fireworks

Alright nice knowing you guys

O7

All dog owners do this

And yes, we should employ natural selection

Cabo Verde actually almost did it

I wish the free japanese broadcaster hadn't forgotten to air this one

ok I can see the poll now

I had this same argument with my 3rd grade teacher

when she was trying to teach us about probability

nothing is "guaranteed to happen" the person making the statement is asserting something will happen

So it may or may not happen

so all probabilities should realistically be expressed as a union

but the point that Pika was making is that there's no difference between saying "this is guaranteed to happen" and "This WILL happen"

yeah, agreed

speaking of Pika, I passed Pika in the bracket. Huge news, I know.

If I tell you I will go get you ice cream, or I guarentee I will go get you ice cream

it's the same statement I think

I am moreso making the point that since we are doing a hypothetical poll, the word guarantee implies will happen

It definitely doesn't imply it won't happen

Or maybe this conversation is too high iq for me lmao

my wording on the ice cream clauses was bad

but, I still think a guarentee is based on the speaker

if something has been guaranteed, it has to be guaranteed by someone

if there is a speaker, I agree

It is guaranteed that nothing is guaranteed

I can guarantee that

Nothing ever guarantees

I feel like it has to be possessive, maybe I'm not thinking of a scenario where it isn't

my 3rd grade teacher btw, her first example of a probability 1.0 statment was that bees like flowers, and when I told her that's stupid she backtracked to "the sun will rise tomorrow" which I also took issue with

It was guaranteed to them 100 years ago Uhm actually that doesn't mean it's 100%going to happen

and I think I actually had this same argument

I think the probability teacher failed when she was using the word guarenteed and not proper math termonology

that she had no power to guarentee either, which made them not

why did she not hit your 3rd grade class with almost surely

Likely very likely certain

it's still crazy to me, looking back, that all K-6 teachers are in their early-mid twenties, or were grannies

they were as retarded as we all were

I had some pretty old teachers

K-6?

oh you edited it

Yeah, my 4-6 teachers were all old

yeah, there were some grandma types who still taught

my oldest teacher I had was in grade 12, he retired the year after I graduated

I can go back and read

but what is the opposite position

I feel like we all sorta agree

I guess, what is something that can be "guaranteed" without a speaker/perspective being added I feel like one is required to use the word, even if you don't specify who is doing the guaranteeing

and if you sub in to "____ will happen tomorrow"

I still think there's a ghost-subject (it has a linguistic term idk) that is party to the statement

it's usually the speaker, but I guess if you constructed a self-proving sentence, and abstracted the speaker from it

"Guaranteed to happen" just means if it doesn't happen, someone else will owe you money.

then it would mean #1 is correct, I just can't think of a statement that works like that

idk if that makes sense

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XM95k31NUts second season trailer for Witch Hat Atelier is out

Happy Birthday America

And Max

may the mitosis be painless

gbdaam