Replying to Spooky Phijkchu #spooky.131 actual market odds today are ~60-40 (edited)
i think between spooky's odds and betting odds isabout where it probably actually is
vetting
Monday, November 4, 2024
Max, if we make another circle, do those odds go up to 100%, or plummet to 0?
I think you're right
we needed to have some asian redesign our circle to focus the energy differently
1. cheating
2. we live in a super bubble that shows us what we want to see, so or own perceptions of what the average person feels are skewed, especially depending on where some of us live. the avg. woman is going to "vote blue no mattter who"
3. trump is still extremely controversial all things considered
I think its another "he wins the college barely, loses popular" kind of elections
But the blue tsunami Rusp
Rusp, I would vote for all might
I think Harris was such a bad choice that it will be easier than biden v trump 4 years ago, especially since people are less immediately mad about trump like they were last time
which probably means lower turnout for blue
sure there is a correlative increase that more people ushering their support could mean more people are going to vote
conversely it could also be people that would of voted before, and assumed trump had it in the bag for re-election- but were blown out by the fact he lost so doubling their effort
does not even get the black noveltry boost because Obama stole that one
nor the woman president one because even though she lost, Hilary kind of burned people out on that one
For what its worth, I get zero irl US politic stuff, my twitter is like 30% pro trump, 30% tranny shit, and I think trump wins
although reddit has made some points about how Texas is for sure going blue, so its a tossup
Leg, I know reddit is retarded
I use it while I am shitting to laugh at retards and see the same gif posted over and over again
leg, its not even just that. Its like 80% repost bots now
I made the poll here because I thought it wouldn't get burried by political discussion immediately
oops
If donald trump wins we release the
nevermind
Dan instantly votes kamala harris to save himself
aw hell nah
wait
that means nobody can stop me...