politics

its gone up to a 90% chance btw

Iran doesn't have nukes dw Dane

oh ok

it might have started

yeah ok, it started

israel....

oh uh

we're not helping Israel

our AA in Jordan is standing down

its a new era

Israel is actually getting hit back

Comfort drone girl tonight spooky

I suspect we'll be told to turn it on before the night is over

something...happened?

Trump's mad at Israel over this, so if he fence sits we might not go to war

we should bomb both sides so we don't seem biased

from Israel The IDF is preparing for an operation lasting at least several days, including the expectation of heavy Iranian barrages, and says: Full dialogue is taking place with the US military.

Imagine a world where Iran actually has finished some of their nukes

no one would be expecting it

what are the spooky odds trump folds

I think the odds we give "defensive support" to Israel is 80%

10% Trump does nothing and lets things sort themselves out, 10% Trump sucks Israel's cock hard and bombs Iran with them

will probably be clear which path he's taking whenever he posts his first tweet about it

Unbiased: I actually think the strongest move is genuinely to play the "peacemaker" role and not get involved tonight

Trump wants a new Iranian nuclear peace deal he negotiates, and by not helping Israel rn he probably gets that

I usually would say we always fold to israel but I think specifically because he's been working for that he'll probably not do much if anything

the fact we're not intercepting missiles over Jordan means he told CENTCOM to stand down appak

which (even if not public rn) Israel knows

I stand by I think 80% he makes the call tonight after a phone call is Israel to turn those defenses back on

but if he's serious about wanting that deal, I know there are people in his ear walking him through the outcomes if he fence sits for a night, that he'll get what he wants

Spooky: Israel's first rockets were all aimed at civilian areas, attempting to take out leadership's families

Bro is quoting himself like he's a news outlet

oh I fucked that edit up

whoops

That is a very israel thing to do though

imo, this feels existential for Iran at this point

whatever they have, they need to throw tonight, to try to get to a brokered ceasefire

we're staying out of it tonight

like their hidden nuke

bro Trumps mad

if he's having Rubio make the statement

He's been being pissed at Israel lately

They've been pushing their luck like crazy

I'm serious though

a secret nuke

don't rule it out

A secret nuke would unironically save the world

Iran can't do nothing, is Israel is saying a week-long war

then this isn't something you can shrug off and ignore

Israel has active fights going on 2-fronts rn, and is in the worst position they have been in since the 60s

and Iran SHOULD have had time to prep their own countermeasures, after all their proxy groups got hit by Israel

Never underestimate the ability for nothing to happen

Praying for something happens and it's iran somehow has a nuke

judges now usurping comander in chief authority

Trumps probably more mad that this is happening just before his birthday and military parade

that was exactly my first thought

previously isreal waited for like the day after his inauguration before major escalations

Think they want to keep their war economy going and to take more land area to occupy for development.

Birthdays and celebrations can wait for them

they just need to keep escalating. we are watching their death throws

Has Egypt said anything?

I hope israel wins

I think it will make the correct people mad if israel wins

they likely still can

who knows

regardless this is historic

Everyone knows that if the whole Middle East disappeared off the planet the world would improve drastically

the whole reason we keep the middle east in constant conflict is so that we can extract as efficiently as possible. if the middle east wasnt rich we wouldn't need to even disappear it. the world would indeed improve drastically as western powers wouldn't have reason to turn it into a stain on society

Yeah they're only like that because of western powers

actually the arabs also just all hate eachother

I've heard Islam is the religion of peace

Mint is very pro rape (proven), so his position makes sense

I found it weird how the west invented jews and muslims and put them right next to each other