Replying to Dane #princelydone go even further back and start hunting 1st graders for sport
I approve
politics
Thursday, June 12, 2025
there's still time to bet on it if you want
nothing ever happens pays ~5x rn
I'm saying 90% because they activated the special military roads in VA tonight
which almost never happens
the 3 big roads in the DC-Virginia area are closed to "non-essential" traffic, you need a dip/mil plate or a government badge to use them
Iran doesn't have nukes dw Dane
oh ok
it might have started
yeah ok, it started
oh uh
we're not helping Israel
our AA in Jordan is standing down
Israel is actually getting hit back
I suspect we'll be told to turn it on before the night is over
Trump's mad at Israel over this, so if he fence sits we might not go to war
from Israel
The IDF is preparing for an operation lasting at least several days, including the expectation of heavy Iranian barrages, and says: Full dialogue is taking place with the US military.
Imagine a world where Iran actually has finished some of their nukes
no one would be expecting it
I think the odds we give "defensive support" to Israel is 80%
10% Trump does nothing and lets things sort themselves out, 10% Trump sucks Israel's cock hard and bombs Iran with them
will probably be clear which path he's taking whenever he posts his first tweet about it
Unbiased: I actually think the strongest move is genuinely to play the "peacemaker" role and not get involved tonight
Trump wants a new Iranian nuclear peace deal he negotiates, and by not helping Israel rn he probably gets that
the fact we're not intercepting missiles over Jordan means he told CENTCOM to stand down appak
which (even if not public rn) Israel knows
I stand by I think 80% he makes the call tonight after a phone call is Israel to turn those defenses back on
but if he's serious about wanting that deal, I know there are people in his ear walking him through the outcomes if he fence sits for a night, that he'll get what he wants
Spooky: Israel's first rockets were all aimed at civilian areas, attempting to take out leadership's families
oh I fucked that edit up
whoops
imo, this feels existential for Iran at this point
whatever they have, they need to throw tonight, to try to get to a brokered ceasefire
we're staying out of it tonight
bro Trumps mad
if he's having Rubio make the statement
I'm serious though
a secret nuke
don't rule it out
Iran can't do nothing, is Israel is saying a week-long war
then this isn't something you can shrug off and ignore
Israel has active fights going on 2-fronts rn, and is in the worst position they have been in since the 60s
and Iran SHOULD have had time to prep their own countermeasures, after all their proxy groups got hit by Israel
Trumps probably more mad that this is happening just before his birthday and military parade
Think they want to keep their war economy going and to take more land area to occupy for development.
Birthdays and celebrations can wait for them
Has Egypt said anything?