general

clearly an objective source

mini google the birthday paradox

it will blow your mind

I have no idea if this reasoning is correct, and probably overcounts, but say you have 50 notable people in the cult (huge stretch), first person does not matter (they will always have a birthday on a date). For the next person, you have to choose 1 (so 49 choices) and you have to pick one of the days on either side of the person (so 2/365). Do this for the subsequent people, and I think the formula for 50 people having 4 consequetive days is something like (49)(48)(47)(2^3)/(365^4) ~ 1.8%

I am really bad at counting problems though, probably my worst area of mathematics

each person is me

so it would be me every day

Generalized if my formula is correct, to (n-1)!/(n-k)! (2/365)^(k-1) where n is the number of people, k is the desired length of the chain

I think your formula undercounts, but I don't really know why

I hate probability questions

I think it's related to having to account for collisions of other birthdays

i'm working on an inductive solution

You are probably right Spooky, but I think just saying for 50 people it is ~5% is good enough!

agree

ask grok on sexy mode

tell your chatgpt to talk like that forever

We need a month-long personality lock feature

that could be fun

So ~ 4.7%

For 50 people anyways

i didn't need induction in the end

mine is probably also overcounting

give me the number of ways you can put M items into 4 bins while guaranteeing at least one in each bin, and I have a better formula

call that B(M)

this should eliminate duplicates that were ignored by the previous nCk operation

Did you consider something like Dec 31 to Jan 3? Also Feb 28.

yes and no

did you factor in 9/11

Considering I am apart of phijkchu, 9/11 is in play for the chain

since I am 9/10

So I would hope so

The Pakistan-India war has begun

whose side is Phijkchu taking?

its a dance-battle style war

according to those videos...

Is it an actually full out war?

I have not been paying attention

unless Pakistan immediatey waves the white flag and cedes territory

probably

India has troops moving to occupy Kashmir

Something tells me the world will not send tons of munitions to pakistan to fight off the superpower 2055

they had "military exercises" scheduled all day on the 7th

sorry pakistan, you are not ukraine

I just hope everyone dies has a good time :)

or israel

^

ghandi moment

Israel has come out in support of India already

Pakistan threatened nukes

but rn Pakistan is sorta weird

because the military took over, because surprise surprise, the fake president the US installed 2 years ago was ineffective

Pakistan should consider tarrifing india

I think that will work

I think India knows they have the upper hand, despite their troops being Indian

doubt there's much placating that'll happen

shitty part is because it's the literal 3rd world, there will be very little candid video

Pakistan prime minister declares act of war. Says they'll reply

I mean, either you just roll over and take it or you do that, so I agree with pakistan doing that

I'll move this over to Politics chat later

will be interesting to see wtf happens tonight

I 100% support countries having actual wars

I hate that there's this expectation they're supposed to sit there and take it

And listen to random politicians say "Rules Based Order" again and again

does pakistan have nukes?

Yes, Pakistan and India both have many nukes

i knew india had some but i didnt know pakistan did

According to some article

you have to remember, Pakistan and India were the same country

until the US and UK split it arbitrarilly

(which is the territory they're fighting over now!)

how nice of most of these countries for having a nice round number of nukes

very aesthetic