And I think people who are claiming "Google Gemini is alive" are retarded
rawb
Wednesday, August 12, 2026
I think when a LLM can update its own training data in reasonable time, without human intervention, and without imploding itself, I will consider us closer to your view
If I start seeing things slowdown that suggest we're anywhere near the top of an S-curve, I'd also be more aligned with you
I'm not naiive, if it stops working suddenly, then this is all dead and gay
I think it can improve, but I think the cost to improve it is getting higher for lower returns, and the only reason you have not seen it slow down is instead of letting it slow down they are just burning trillions to get these diminishing returns
when they stop dumping actual trillions on this, you'll hit the top of the S
I think that's probably the fundamental difference in view, I see progress accelerating right now
burning the trillions is working
It'll work until the returns are diminished to the point that you have to burn quadrillions to get the same returns
then we print more money
line go up
Okay, I will put it this way, I do not think an LLM, which has the sum total of all human knowledge as it exists right now, and the entire planet is reformed to exist to be in service to (only the data ceneter, factories making more memory etc, power generation) will be AGI
and I think there will be something in the next ~2 years that I will consider AGI
sure, but it will not be an LLM
it'll be a Network of LLMs
mtcdood, it's worse
they are mostly convinced they are creating god
the actual AI lab people I work with
are unirronically convinced they are going to meet a god if they do a good enough job
I think the people funding it are doing it for what mtcdood is saying, I think the people working on it are delusional like spooky said
also most think their work will make them immortal
lol
RIP
Honestly spooky, I will go the other way with my take from yours
Replying to Spooky Phijkchu #spooky.131 also most think their work will make them immortal
so, they're weird fanatics?
I think this huge LLM push has caused the opposite, and delayed actual AGI by probably 10 years
because this will never hit that, but it will get close enough that people will say "yep, we did it"
Google-IBM is the only lab working on non-LLM AI right now
Replying to Dialga #god_of_time so, they're weird fanatics?
yes, but it's not in the way that you think
I spend a lot of time around them, they're all sad about it
folding@home died to crypto
Spooky, I would love to talk to your coworkers just to see what the fuck is going on in their head
they tried to make their own token, but it was on a dead chain
Actually, I would love to talk to the freezing light guy way more than your coworkers, but they are a close second
they're not my direct co-workers, we have Anthropic people on-loan from Amazon who sit with us for a few months, then rotate back to their labs
the freezing light guy is hard at work
Spooky, hear me out. They do not actually believe this, but because they work for Anthropic they really need to upsell it, so whenever you are around they have to act like they think they are causing the end of the world
no, they really believe it
these are the researchers, not the PR people
lol
the Amazon PR people are the ones who tell us non-stop about AI-bro talking points and why we need to give AWS more money
I'm roped into the space datacenter thing xAI and Anthropic are trying to do to beat OpenAI
since OpenAI is pulling ahead again
which I remain convinced is a bad idea
but it means I get to play with big lasers
which is fun
Yeah
I am interested when the LLM craze dies down and people who do ML can get funding for not LLM machine learning stuff again, if we get anything really cool
Thursday, August 13, 2026
Replying to Spooky Phijkchu #spooky.131 it's not all AI, this is also AWS and Azure and Walmart, etc.
What does Walmart need with a data centre?
AI that determines how much they can surge price you (individual) before you shoot the cashier
- 2
Replying to CEO of Phijkchu #.komadi What does Walmart need with a data centre?
Dynamic pricing
Friday, August 14, 2026
Dynamic pricing for a supermarket is insanity. I thought it was bad enough on Ticketmaster
If I don't have to price-check whether a store is raping me while I shop, I'll put up with a lot
I have 4 major grocery stores near me, and I know people who will do a loop and visit all 4 to get the cheapest items from each
some people REALLY hate the idea that they are missing out on saving a cent
especially non-food shopping
where it's more about how good of an equity buy something is
"it was on sale for 75% off, I'd be stupid to not buy it"
I'm not going to shop somewhere if I know I'm being raped on prices compared to Amazon
but I'm not going to obsess over the margins
dynamic pricing also helps them actually work through inventory
I'm a big proponent in prices dropping as food degrades in quality
if you can mark down food based on how long its been on the shelf, that's a net positive imo
or how scuffed a piece of fruit is