politics
Wednesday, October 28, 2020
people on both sides produce such retarded maps
I think it's silly when democrats act like Texas and Georgia are "in play"
it's equally dumb to pretend New Mexico is "in play"
My best guess is that he saw that Hillary beat Trump by 8 points there in 2016, saw that Gary Johnson got nine points in the state, because I think he used to be the governor there...and then just added 9 points to Trump because Gary Johnson isn't running. Making it 49-48, if Biden got exactly as many votes as Clinton, which seems unlikely.
Both sides have this fantasy that they're going to have a blowout win
I really like Trump's chances overall, but it's not like he's going to blow Biden out
If Trump wins all the normal states + PA, he wins, I don't realistically see him performing that much better over that baseline though
Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire, maybe 1 of them goes his way
or Trump underperforms, doesn't get Arizona and loses narrowly
Biden's ceiling in my mind is ~290 electoral votes
Trumps is probably about the same
I'd give Trump a 60% chance of winning, 35% Biden, 5% tie
if they tie, we should just elect Kanye and Musk
What's your feeling Turnip?
I should write in Max
in the whitest states in the country?
imagine if Kanye beat the Libertarians or Green party
in any district
Kanye winning would be the funniest outcome
sadly not going to happen
I am still sad McAfee is not actually running
he should win
he escaped
it was a Portuguese jail
and when he says "escaped" I assume he means he posted bail and walked out
oh shit boys
we're the ones in prison
Yeah I think biden will do much better than Hilary because he does not seem like a cartoon supervillian compared to her
she was laughably bad
who wins is up in the air as far as I am concerned, I agree with spookies odds more or less
I think a non-zero number of people feel that way, I don't know if it's statistically significant
Western PA is all fracking