general

all of them make it very clear

But it’s not a skill based thing

So dream doesn’t care

I mean I am fine with scripting things (except in robs case where the thing you are making is donation based and you sell it as improv)

Dream losing the 100k thing was hilarious

its just silly if you pretend its not

Because he kept provoking techno

And techno didn’t want to do it

And then he lost

again, i dont like or dislike him, but im not going to take a doc based off of people who have a vendetta against him as factual

they split the money anyways rusp

Dolf

okay jew

you can read the math

whey were doing it from the start

whats that stat quote

you can manipulate them to force your view or something like that

Dolf, they are not just showing a plot. They do full on analysis

I read the entire thing

I am telling you it seems reasonably valid

and ive given the point that their upperbound is inaccurate

because dream claimed it was?

i read the entire thing too

i didnt understand any of it

lmao

because there is vastly more than 1000 runns

runs

there are 900 submitted 1.16 alone

that does not account for all the non pbs submitted

but still streamed

But the actual odds

If this happening

yes

are 1 in 7.5 trillion with that 1000 upperbound

I’m sure that it will get much more reasonable once they fix that

1/700 billion maybe

this has gone on for 2 months and dream has said their probability has varied each time

its actually about a 50% chance if you normalize it correctly dream is innocent

You’re right

Fuck

I don't know what to tell you dolf. This paper seems consistent with the statistical method I know from the three classes I have done on it.

Yeah but the Jew smells something fishy

im not saying their math is wrong

If you want to call into question the entire field of statistics and its validity thats a different arguement

im saying the numbers they use are

I mean, fuck, I can see why dolfin's siding with the guy

He only had a 1 in 6,000,000 chance of being here rihgt now

i was going to make that joke but didnt

Lmao

Good joke

Its not like the evidence hinges on that part at all dolf

That’s what I was saying

the graphs alone are pretty damning and show something is probably off

Dream stans be like

i dont disagree with that

Dream is the main character

Silence Dream Stan

This has to have happened

Honestly, a better analysis would compare more minecraft runners than the 3 they included

but that would exponentially increase the time required

also they compare it to a runner

to dream specifically

not

odds in general

they have a line that is the odds in general

for if you are in the 99th percentile of luck

sorry 99.9th

Also funny thing

Dream is a coder

And they said he had a mod installed that increases frame rate

plugins dont work on single player worlds rusp

And also

Let’s you

he also has never made a mod

Mess with the game

You’re taking him at face value

Fabric

Yes

Fabric

he explained this in his comment that pirate linked earlie